Thursday, February 28, 2019

War between India and Pakistan

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi hoped to come out of the election campaign as a strong man. He did not quite succeed. On February 26th 2019 Modi bombed a terrorist camp in Pakistan's Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa province, directly adjacent to the Kashmir mountainous region. He said he responded to a terrorist attack in Kashmir. In the long history of skirmishes between the two countries holding a nuclear stockpile it was the first time that India did this, thus starting the conflict to escalate.

The cold war between Indian and Pakistan got hotter

Pakistan was unwilling to follow New Delhi's contention that the bombing was an anti-terrorist operation and a non-military preemptive strike. The following day Pakistani military aircraft shot down an Indian fighter plane over Kashmir and took the pilot in captivity. Now the airspace over Pakistan is closed to civilian traffic, because the government expects attacks from India. Thousands of flights have to be diverted worldwide. If this escalates to a war between the two nuclear powers, would it not only have consequences for the South Asian region.

Dangerous situation

The situation is extremely tense. For the first time in almost 50 years, the air forces of both countries are in direct confrontation. The last war between India and Pakistan took place in 1971 and ended with the defeat of Pakistan and the secession of the state of Bangladesh, formerly East Pakistan.

My opinion

If Narendra Modi wants to respond to a terrorist attack and bomb a terrorist camp he might have spoken to the Pakistani before. May be let them handle it. But only if they declined saying India will then take care of it itself. But history shows the failure to communicate often leads to disaster. I wonder if Narendra Modi has the brains to not see this. Lets pray that if the wage nuclear war there are no strong winds that the fallout falls on their countries only. Both have quite a large landmass.

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